This Could Be a Landslide For Romney

I’m not just saying that. Here in true blue Massachusetts, I never see Obama signs but I see plenty of Romney signs. And Scott Brown signs. Everywhere.

I’ve long suspected that Democrats were embracing early voting to show momentum and contribute to the myth of Obama’s inevitability. I’ve also suspected that it was just another David Axelrod custom designed illusion.

This report from the Washington Examiner confirms my suspicions…

Democrats more than Republicans are getting their most loyal supporters to vote early, but with polls showing a close race among those who have voted so far, concerns are being raised about a GOP tsunami on the actual Election Day, next Tuesday.

According to a GOP analysis of early voting and absentee ballot requests provided to Secrets, the Democrats are turning out their most reliable, or so-called “high propensity voters” than Republicans, leaving fewer for Election Day. The GOP is pushing weaker supporters to vote early, expecting high enthusiasm to drive their regular supporters to the polls next week.

“Democrats are cannibalizing their high-propensity voters in advance of election day to get stories that they are winning,” said a GOP analyst. “But in effect they are stealing from Peter, or Election Day, to pay Paul, or early voting.”

If that’s not enough, consider this report from John Nolte at Breitbart which shows that when compared to 2008, Obama’s early voting advantage has dropped by 22 points…

My pal Guy Benson found a juicy nugget that helps to bring more clarity to the news from Gallup yesterday that shows Romney leading Obama in the early vote by a full seven points, 52-45%. Almost exactly four years ago (October 28, 2008), according to Gallup, Obama was massacring John McCain among early voters with a fifteen-point lead, 55-40%. That means, at least according to Gallup, that Obama’s early vote advantage has dropped 22 points when compared to ’08…

In other words, among those who actually voted on Election Day, Obama’s advantage over McCain was only three points. Obama won by seven overall because of the early vote margins he had accumulated. If Gallup is correct about 2012 and Romney being ahead by seven with early voters, that means Obama’s in very deep trouble. Even polls that show Obama with a small lead in states like Ohio confirm Romney will win among those who vote on Election Day.

Finally, Mark Halperin notes that Democrats are now playing defense in blue states…

All that being said…

Nothing can be taken for granted and as Glenn Reynolds has stated repeatedly, the key to success is showing up. But if the above reports are accurate, election night may not be a late night.

Unless of course, we’re celebrating.