Democrats May Regret Putting All Their Eggs in One Basket
Hillary Clinton is the presumed Democratic nominee for 2016. Bernie Sanders and the rest might offer the illusion that another person could grab the gold ring but at the end of the day, the Dems are going to nominate Hillary. She has the highest name recognition and she’ll raise the most money.
But what happens when the general public starts paying attention to the election?
Fred Barnes of The Weekly Standard…
The Coming Democratic Panic
When a CNN poll last week showed Hillary Clinton leading Rand Paul by a single percentage point (48-47) and only three points ahead of Marco Rubio (49-46) and Scott Walker (49-46), it was mildly shocking. In April, her lead over the three Republican presidential candidates had been in double digits: Paul (58-39), Rubio (55-41), and Walker (59-37).
But wait. If the next CNN survey shows Clinton actually behind one or two or three of the GOP candidates, it won’t be just shocking. It will send Democrats into a near-panic over the possibility of losing the White House in 2016, even with their preferred candidate, Clinton, as nominee.
Such a poll result isn’t far-fetched as we watch Clinton’s campaign deteriorate. True, head-to-head matchups this early in the presidential cycle are almost never predictive. But in this case, it’s the psychological impact that matters.
Megan McArdle of Bloomberg makes a similar point…
By allowing Clinton to take the lion’s share of the fundraising dollars and the media attention, the party has left itself without a plausible alternative candidate. That seemed dandy as long as she was easily trouncing Republicans in polls. But those polls were always going to narrow, because the early polls were basically measuring whether people recognized the candidate’s name, not whether they were going to vote for her more than a year hence. As the GOP race sorts out, and the front-runners achieve more public awareness, you’re going to see our highly partisan electorate lock into much narrower margins.
Back in 2008 when Obama’s star was rising, Hillary was told she’d have to wait her turn.
That time may have passed.